Alanyaspor 3-0 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.68/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.60
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.4 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.83 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
450 Passes 355
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-3 HT 0-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
11.11.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
29.10.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.05.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.03.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK
22.12.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
3-0
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.38 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
343 Passes 252
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor ran out comfortable winners over Gaziantep FK 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alanyaspor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 57% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 43%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.38 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.00 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Alanyaspor 3-0 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 49%, draw 25%, Gaziantep FK 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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