Gaziantep FK 0-3 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Apr 2024

Gaziantep FK
0-3 HT 0-2
Alanyaspor
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
13%
4.87
X/2
13%
6.39
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
18%
4.64
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.47/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.24
+20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.0 Crosses 18.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.54 xG 1.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 460
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
29.10.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.05.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.03.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK
22.12.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
22.04.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 2-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL

Gaziantep FK 0-3 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
0-3
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.30 xG 2.92
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
459 Passes 345
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor ran out comfortable winners over Gaziantep FK 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Alanyaspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 56% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 44%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.30 to 2.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.83 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Gaziantep FK 0-3 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 37%, draw 26%, Alanyaspor 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
2 Apr 2024
17:00 İstanbulspor vs Çaykur Rizespor Analysis →
20:30 Antalyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Analysis →
20:30 Galatasaray vs Hatayspor Analysis →