Antalyaspor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Apr 2024

Antalyaspor
1-1 HT 1-0
MKE Ankaragücü
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Antalyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
12%
15.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 23% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.45
X/2
6%
7.39
X/X
13%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.54
2/X
10%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v MKE Ankaragücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.38
+6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.5 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Antalyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-4 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
17.05.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
23.12.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
04.04.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
06.12.2020 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
19.07.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL

Antalyaspor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
1-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.48 xG 0.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
306 Passes 488
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor and MKE Ankaragücü shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Antalyaspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 40% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 60%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.48 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Antalyaspor and 0.67 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Antalyaspor 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Super League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 45%, draw 29%, MKE Ankaragücü 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Antalyaspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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