İstanbulspor 0-4 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
9%
7.43
X/2
18%
4.51
X/X
9%
5.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.62
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 58%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
1.19/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.91
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -47%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.39 xG 0.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
424 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
01.04.2018 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
19.11.2017 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
01.10.2013 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
14.07.2007 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor KAR
26.02.2005 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
0-4
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.26 xG 3.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
401 Passes 345
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor cruised past İstanbulspor 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 53% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 47%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.26 to 3.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.50 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

İstanbulspor 0-4 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 27%, draw 22%, Çaykur Rizespor 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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