Galatasaray 1-0 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Apr 2024

Galatasaray
1-0 HT 1-0
Hatayspor
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Galatasaray vs Hatayspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.51
2-3 Goals
42%
2.13
4-5 Goals
25%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.33
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
28.5
X/1
12%
3.51
X/2
5%
28.5
X/X
6%
10.5
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
6%
20.6
2/X
6%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
79%
-11.6pp
18%
Draw
14%
+4.6pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galatasaray v Hatayspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -17%
2.55/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.51
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
25.5 Crosses 12.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Galatasaray vs Hatayspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hatayspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.06 xG 1.40
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
433 Passes 211
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
13.01.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 3-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
16.01.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 4-2 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
23.08.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
03.04.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
05.12.2020 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL

Galatasaray 1-0 Hatayspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
1-0
AWAY Hatayspor
1.64 xG 0.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
360 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray squeezed past Hatayspor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Galatasaray had 59% of the ball to Hatayspor's 41%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Galatasaray and 1.67 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Hatayspor?

Galatasaray 1-0 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 67%, draw 18%, Hatayspor 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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