Vipers 1-1 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

Vipers
1-1 HT 1-1
BUL
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
Over
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.6
No
67%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
44%
2-3
35%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+12.6pp
33%
BTTS Yes
34%
-1.4pp
67%
BTTS No
66%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL The Market 20%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.66/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.28
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
1W-1D-1L
AWAY BUL
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
01.05.2024 BUL BUL 1-0 HT 1-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
09.02.2022 BUL BUL 1-3 HT 1-2 Vipers Vipers UGA
08.01.2022 Vipers Vipers 1-1 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
1-1
AWAY BUL
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vipers vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers and BUL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vipers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Vipers had 68% of the ball to BUL's 32%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vipers and 1.00 for BUL.

What was the final score of Vipers vs BUL?

Vipers 1-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vipers 44%, draw 27%, BUL 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vipers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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