Manchester City (K) 6-1 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
2%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-3.5pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.4pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.5pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.36/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.82
+10% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +70%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
515 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 74%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.4 Crosses 13.9
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
3.10 xG 0.64
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
546 Passes 253
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
25.01.2025 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 2-4 HT 1-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
20.10.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
18.05.2024 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
09.12.2023 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
6-1
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
3.92 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
411 Passes 279
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
52 Box Touches 25
32 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) ran out comfortable winners over Aston Villa (K) 6-1. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 57% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 43%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 3.92 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Manchester City (K) and 1.25 for Aston Villa (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Manchester City (K) 6-1 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 70%, draw 16%, Aston Villa (K) 13%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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