Sunderland vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sunderland v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Newcastle United 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Sunderland had 47% of the ball to Newcastle United's 53%, shots finished 5-6, expected goals 0.30 to 0.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sunderland and 0.67 for Newcastle United.
Sunderland vs Newcastle United Result & Final Score
Sunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sunderland vs Newcastle United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 28%, draw 29%, Newcastle United 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.