Talavera CF 2-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.36
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.01/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.23
-21% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.03.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
19.10.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-1 HT 1-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
17.01.2021 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
18.10.2020 Merida AD Merida AD 0-1 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
08.12.2019 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF nicked a narrow win over Merida AD 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Talavera CF had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talavera CF and 0.80 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Merida AD?

Talavera CF 2-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 42%, draw 28%, Merida AD 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
14 Dec 2025
14:00 Athletic Bilbao II vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
14:00 UD Ibiza vs Villarreal II Analysis →
18:00 Teruel vs Algeciras Analysis →
18:00 Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas Analysis →
20:15 Pontevedra vs Arenas de Getxo Analysis →
20:15 Atletico Sanluqueno vs Hercules Analysis →