Athletic Bilbao II 1-2 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +6%
1.13/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.00
-11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
29.01.2022 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 4-1 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
08.10.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
16.05.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1-2
AWAY Celta Vigo II
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II squeezed past Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 58% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 42%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.75 for Celta Vigo II.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Celta Vigo II?

Athletic Bilbao II 1-2 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 41%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo II 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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