Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
1.09/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.95
-12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2022 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 4-1 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
08.10.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
16.05.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
0-1
AWAY Celta Vigo II
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II nicked a narrow win over Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Celta Vigo II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 49% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 51%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 2.00 for Celta Vigo II.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Celta Vigo II?

Athletic Bilbao II 0-1 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 34%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo II 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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