Marbella 1-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.89/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.16
-29% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Merida AD
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
02.02.2020 Merida AD Merida AD 0-0 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
15.09.2019 Marbella Marbella 3-2 HT 1-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
1-0
AWAY Merida AD
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella edged past Merida AD 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Marbella made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Marbella had 56% of the ball to Merida AD's 44%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marbella had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marbella and 1.00 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Merida AD?

Marbella 1-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated an Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marbella 34%, draw 27%, Merida AD 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Merida AD) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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