Real Murcia 0-1 Real Betis II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.28
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis II EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.39/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.18
-13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Betis II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 4
23.01.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS3
25.11.2020 Real Betis II Real Betis II 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
0-1
AWAY Real Betis II
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Real Betis II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis II squeezed past Real Murcia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Murcia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Real Murcia had 42% of the ball to Real Betis II's 58%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Betis II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Murcia and 2.00 for Real Betis II.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Real Betis II?

Real Murcia 0-1 Real Betis II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Real Betis II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 43%, draw 30%, Real Betis II 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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