UD Ibiza 1-0 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.09
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.10/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.93
-26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Alcoyano
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 3-0 HT 1-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
10.09.2023 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-2 HT 0-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
31.01.2021 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 0-1 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
18.11.2020 Alcoyano Alcoyano 1-2 HT 1-2 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
1-0
AWAY Alcoyano
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza edged past Alcoyano 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Ibiza as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 61% of the ball to Alcoyano's 39%, shots finished 13-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for UD Ibiza and 0.50 for Alcoyano.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Alcoyano?

UD Ibiza 1-0 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 42%, draw 28%, Alcoyano 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ibiza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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