Alcorcon 2-2 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.12/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.79
-30% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Sevilla II
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 216
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2018 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
25.11.2017 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS2
04.03.2017 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS2
24.09.2016 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-1 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
2-2
AWAY Sevilla II
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Sevilla II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alcorcon at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcorcon had 52% of the ball to Sevilla II's 48%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sevilla II led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Alcorcon and 0.50 for Sevilla II.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Sevilla II?

Alcorcon 2-2 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 51%, draw 27%, Sevilla II 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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