Carrarese vs Virtus Entella Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carrarese v Virtus Entella — Team-Based Signals
Carrarese vs Virtus Entella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Virtus Entella
İTC
4-0
HT 2-0
Carrarese
İTC
1-1
HT 1-1
Carrarese
İTCK
3-1
HT 2-1
Virtus Entella
İTC
3-0
HT 2-0
Carrarese
İTC
Carrarese 3-1 Virtus Entella — Actual Match Statistics
Carrarese beat Virtus Entella 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Carrarese had 46% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 54%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.99 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrarese had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carrarese and 1.67 for Virtus Entella.
What was the final score of Carrarese vs Virtus Entella?
Carrarese 3-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie B on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Virtus Entella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 47%, draw 26%, Virtus Entella 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.