Virtus Entella 1-3 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.82
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.1pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.27/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.30
+10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Carrarese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Carrarese Carrarese 2-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
22.01.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
05.10.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 1-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTCK
18.09.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 3-1 HT 2-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
07.03.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
24.10.2021 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
1-3
AWAY Carrarese
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese saw off Virtus Entella 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Carrarese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 46% of the ball to Carrarese's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Virtus Entella and 1.17 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

Virtus Entella 1-3 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie C on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 37%, draw 27%, Carrarese 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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