Cittadella 2-2 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 28%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.49/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.28
+4% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Novara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
30.09.2020 Cittadella Cittadella 3-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTK
11.02.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 1-3 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTB
16.09.2017 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.02.2017 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
17.09.2016 Cittadella Cittadella 3-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTB
01.03.2014 Cittadella Cittadella 2-2 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
2-2
AWAY Novara
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella and Novara couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cittadella had 66% of the ball to Novara's 34%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cittadella and 1.50 for Novara.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Novara?

Cittadella 2-2 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 49%, draw 25%, Novara 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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