Pontedera 1-1 Sambenedettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sambenedettese EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.16/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.00
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-1
AWAY Sambenedettese
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Sambenedettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera and Sambenedettese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pontedera had 46% of the ball to Sambenedettese's 54%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Sambenedettese?

Pontedera 1-1 Sambenedettese in the Italy - Serie C on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Sambenedettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sambenedettese win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 33%, draw 30%, Sambenedettese 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sambenedettese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sambenedettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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