Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 Montana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Montana EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Montana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Montana Montana BUL1
28.07.2025 Montana Montana 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-0
AWAY Montana
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Montana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv cruised past Montana 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 55% of the ball to Montana's 45%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.50 for Montana.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Montana?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 Montana in the Bulgaria - Cup on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Montana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 60%, draw 21%, Montana 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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