Al Shamal 0-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.51
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
16%
5.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.01/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.59
-31% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
243 Passes 417
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.08.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
28.02.2025 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
27.09.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-4 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
29.03.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
03.11.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
02.04.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli nicked a narrow win over Al Shamal 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shamal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Shamal and 1.17 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Ahli?

Al Shamal 0-1 Al Ahli in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 43%, draw 23%, Al Ahli 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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