Lusail City 3-3 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 14 Dec 2025

Lusail City
3-3 HT 2-2
Umm Salal
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup – 2025/2026

Lusail City vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.43
Over 2.5
44%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
38%
+18.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
62%
-18.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lusail City v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusail City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 62%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.00
-31% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +25%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.6

Lusail City 3-3 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusail City
3-3
AWAY Umm Salal
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lusail City vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusail City and Umm Salal couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Umm Salal at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusail City had 65% of the ball to Umm Salal's 35%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Lusail City vs Umm Salal?

Lusail City 3-3 Umm Salal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusail City vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lusail City 25%, draw 26%, Umm Salal 49%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umm Salal), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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