Sofapaka 0-2 Tusker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Dec 2025

Sofapaka
0-2 HT 0-0
Tusker
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Sofapaka vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
2.99
Draw
38%
2.58
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.75
No
45%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
30%
-8.4pp
38%
Draw
36%
+2.2pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
32%
+23.1pp
45%
BTTS No
68%
-23.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sofapaka v Tusker — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Tusker EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.17/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.92
+38% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

Sofapaka vs Tusker Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Tusker
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Tusker Tusker 1-0 HT 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN
25.02.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-2 HT 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
12.12.2021 Tusker Tusker 0-0 Sofapaka Sofapaka KEN2

Sofapaka 0-2 Tusker — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sofapaka
0-2
AWAY Tusker
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Tusker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker got the better of Sofapaka 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 22% / 38% / 40% — and on the day Tusker made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Sofapaka had 52% of the ball to Tusker's 48%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tusker led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sofapaka and 1.00 for Tusker.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Tusker?

Sofapaka 0-2 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Tusker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 22%, draw 38%, Tusker 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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