Tusker vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tusker v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals
Tusker vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Tusker
KEN2
0-0
Sofapaka
KEN2
Tusker 1-0 Sofapaka — Actual Match Statistics
Tusker squeezed past Sofapaka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tusker as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tusker had 50% of the ball to Sofapaka's 50%, shots finished 10-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tusker had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tusker and 0.00 for Sofapaka.
What was the final score of Tusker vs Sofapaka?
Tusker 1-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tusker vs Sofapaka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tusker 55%, draw 27%, Sofapaka 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.