24/08/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Bidco United vs Shabana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
36%
Draw
28%
28%
Away Win
25%
52%
Under 2.5
61%
48%
Over 2.5
39%
56%
BTTS Yes
44%
44%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bidco United v Shabana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bidco United
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shabana
EU Bookmakers 29%
-38% /
-38%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-49%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
331 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
240 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bidco United vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bidco United and Shabana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 36% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Bidco United vs Shabana?
Bidco United 1-1 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Shabana?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 35%, draw 36%, Shabana 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
KEN
More Kenya - Premier League
24 Aug 2024