Paços De Ferreira 1-5 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2025

Paços De Ferreira
1-5 HT 1-3
Lusitania FC Lourosa
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Paços De Ferreira vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paços De Ferreira v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.44/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.72
+31% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.8 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 5.0

Paços De Ferreira 1-5 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1-5
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
1.00 xG 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
313 Passes 192
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Paços De Ferreira vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lusitania FC Lourosa ran out comfortable winners over Paços De Ferreira 5-1 away from home in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14 Dec 2025. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 56% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 44%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.00 to 1.80.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Paços De Ferreira 1-5 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 33%, draw 25%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 42%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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