Portimonense 1-2 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2025

Portimonense
1-2 HT 1-0
Leixoes
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Portimonense vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portimonense v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.41/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.44
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.9 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Portimonense vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Leixoes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 227
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2025 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
05.10.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 3-0 HT 3-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
30.07.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense PRLK
08.11.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
23.05.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
18.01.2015 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2

Portimonense 1-2 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
1-2
AWAY Leixoes
1.34 xG 1.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
299 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes nicked a narrow win over Portimonense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Leixoes found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portimonense had 56% of the ball to Leixoes's 44%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.34 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leixoes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Portimonense and 1.17 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Leixoes?

Portimonense 1-2 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 40%, draw 22%, Leixoes 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portimonense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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