Portimonense 2-1 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2025

Portimonense
2-1 HT 0-1
Leixoes
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Portimonense vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portimonense v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.32/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.41
-43% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.6 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Portimonense vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Leixoes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 0.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 3-0 HT 3-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
30.07.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense PRLK
08.11.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
23.05.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
18.01.2015 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
02.03.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 3-0 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2

Portimonense 2-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
2-1
AWAY Leixoes
1.43 xG 1.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 7
231 Passes 191
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense nicked a narrow win over Leixoes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Portimonense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense had 55% of the ball to Leixoes's 45%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.43 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leixoes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portimonense and 1.00 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Leixoes?

Portimonense 2-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 37%, draw 29%, Leixoes 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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