Uniao De Leiria vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uniao De Leiria v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
Uniao De Leiria vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Penafiel
PORLC
1-1
HT 1-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR
Uniao De Leiria 1-0 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao De Leiria edged past Penafiel 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Uniao De Leiria as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 58% of the ball to Penafiel's 42%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penafiel led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.00 for Penafiel.
What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Penafiel?
Uniao De Leiria 1-0 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Penafiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 42%, draw 28%, Penafiel 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.