Porto II vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto II v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
Porto II vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR2
Porto II 0-1 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo squeezed past Porto II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Porto II had 50% of the ball to Maritimo's 50%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.46 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Maritimo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maritimo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Porto II and 1.33 for Maritimo.
What was the final score of Porto II vs Maritimo?
Porto II 0-1 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto II vs Maritimo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Porto II 42%, draw 26%, Maritimo 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.