Maritimo vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Porto II — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR2
Maritimo 1-0 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo edged past Porto II 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Maritimo had 46% of the ball to Porto II's 54%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.94 to 1.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Porto II.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maritimo and 0.00 for Porto II.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Porto II?
Maritimo 1-0 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Porto II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 47%, draw 26%, Porto II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.