UD Oliveirense 0-2 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

UD Oliveirense
0-2 HT 0-2
Paços De Ferreira
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UD Oliveirense v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.26/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.22
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +66%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.4 Crosses 17.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
346 Passes 321
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-0 HT 2-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
11.11.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
22.11.2020 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-4 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POK
10.07.2019 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-2 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira HAZ

UD Oliveirense 0-2 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
0-2
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.68 xG 1.72
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
371 Passes 158
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira got the better of UD Oliveirense 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Paços De Ferreira made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 69% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 31%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.68 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UD Oliveirense and 2.00 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira?

UD Oliveirense 0-2 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 30%, draw 32%, Paços De Ferreira 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paços De Ferreira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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