Paços De Ferreira 2-0 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2024

Paços De Ferreira
2-0 HT 2-0
UD Oliveirense
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Paços De Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 33% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paços De Ferreira v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.72/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.63
+38% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.0 Crosses 17.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Paços De Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
2W-1D-0L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.49 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
255 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.11.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
22.11.2020 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-4 HT 0-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POK
10.07.2019 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-2 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira HAZ

Paços De Ferreira 2-0 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
2-0
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.01 xG 1.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
387 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira beat UD Oliveirense 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paços De Ferreira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 53% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 47%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 2.01 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 0.00 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense?

Paços De Ferreira 2-0 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 49%, draw 25%, UD Oliveirense 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paços De Ferreira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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