CF Os Belenenses 3-1 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2024

CF Os Belenenses
3-1 HT 0-1
CD Feirense
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

CF Os Belenenses vs CD Feirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CF Os Belenenses v CD Feirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 40%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.22
-33% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.8 Crosses 18.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

CF Os Belenenses vs CD Feirense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Feirense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.99 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
314 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.11.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 1-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
05.03.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
11.09.2022 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses beat CD Feirense 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; CF Os Belenenses found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 0.67 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs CD Feirense?

CF Os Belenenses 3-1 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 33%, draw 28%, CD Feirense 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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