Leixoes 3-0 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Leixoes
3-0 HT 3-0
Portimonense
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Leixoes vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leixoes v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.29/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/1.24
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +78%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.3 Crosses 9.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Leixoes vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Portimonense
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.07.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense PRLK
08.11.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
23.05.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
18.01.2015 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
02.03.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 3-0 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2

Leixoes 3-0 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
3-0
AWAY Portimonense
0.54 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
263 Passes 321
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes ran out comfortable winners over Portimonense 3-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Leixoes found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Leixoes had 46% of the ball to Portimonense's 54%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.54 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Leixoes and 1.00 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Portimonense?

Leixoes 3-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 40%, draw 27%, Portimonense 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
5 Oct 2024
13:00 Felgueiras 1932 vs Academico Viseu Analysis →
16:00 Maritimo vs Porto II Analysis →
17:30 UD Oliveirense vs Paços De Ferreira Analysis →