Maritimo vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Porto II — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR2
Maritimo 1-0 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo edged past Porto II 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Maritimo had 36% of the ball to Porto II's 64%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.04 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Maritimo's control.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Porto II?
Maritimo 1-0 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Porto II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 43%, draw 25%, Porto II 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo) — a clean sweep of the main markets.