Torreense 3-1 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.47/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.42
-15% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 17.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Benfica II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.36 xG 0.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
313 Passes 426
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 0-2 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
19.02.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 0-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
28.08.2022 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
3-1
AWAY Benfica II
0.90 xG 1.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
333 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense saw off Benfica II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Torreense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Torreense had 44% of the ball to Benfica II's 56%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.90 to 1.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured Benfica II.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torreense and 0.33 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Benfica II?

Torreense 3-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torreense 36%, draw 28%, Benfica II 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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