Penafiel vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Uniao De Leiria — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Uniao De Leiria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Penafiel
PORLC
1-1
HT 1-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR
Penafiel 1-0 Uniao De Leiria — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Penafiel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Penafiel had 33% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 67%, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 1.00 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penafiel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Penafiel and 0.50 for Uniao De Leiria.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Uniao De Leiria?
Penafiel 1-0 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Uniao De Leiria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 36%, draw 29%, Uniao De Leiria 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.