Benfica II vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica II v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Benfica II vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Benfica II
POR2
3-1
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica II
POR2
3-4
HT 0-3
Chaves
POR2
1-3
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Benfica II
POR2
Benfica II 1-0 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica II nicked a narrow win over Chaves 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Benfica II made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Benfica II had 53% of the ball to Chaves's 47%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Benfica II and 1.67 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Benfica II vs Chaves?
Benfica II 1-0 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 39%, draw 29%, Chaves 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.