SK Poltava 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SK Poltava EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 55%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.64/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.19
-35% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SK Poltava
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
01.08.2025 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-1 HT 1-1 SK Poltava SK Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SK Poltava
1-2
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SK Poltava vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rukh Vynnyky nicked a narrow win over SK Poltava 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rukh Vynnyky as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of SK Poltava vs Rukh Vynnyky?

SK Poltava 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SK Poltava vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split SK Poltava 22%, draw 29%, Rukh Vynnyky 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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