Shakhtar Donetsk 5-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
77%
+1.0pp
13%
Draw
14%
-1.0pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Epitsentr Dunayivtsi EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.56/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.05
+22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +88%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
431 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
5-0
AWAY Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk cruised past Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 68% of the ball to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's 32%, shots finished 10-2.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?

Shakhtar Donetsk 5-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 78%, draw 13%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 8%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5
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