PSV II 2-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Jan 2024

PSV II
2-2 HT 0-1
Den Bosch
📅15/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

PSV II vs Den Bosch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.96
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.95
X/2
12%
6.47
X/X
8%
5.25
2/1
8%
23.45
2/2
13%
4.28
2/X EV+ ✓
12%
13.15
Value flag · 2/X at 13.15 — our 12% vs market 4.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV II v Den Bosch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -24%
1.14/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.52
-4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
13.9 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

PSV II vs Den Bosch Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 0.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
328 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
20.01.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.09.2022 PSV II PSV II 3-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
14.03.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-2 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
16.08.2021 PSV II PSV II 0-1 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
19.02.2021 PSV II PSV II 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2

PSV II 2-2 Den Bosch — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
2-2
AWAY Den Bosch
1.51 xG 2.99
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 5
476 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II and Den Bosch couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSV II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, PSV II had 61% of the ball to Den Bosch's 39%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.51 to 2.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PSV II and 1.17 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Den Bosch?

PSV II 2-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PSV II 42%, draw 27%, Den Bosch 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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