Utrecht II 0-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 31% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.02
1/2
9%
23.85
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
11%
6.14
X/2
17%
5.08
X/X
12%
5.29
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.09
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.07/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.27
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
13.1 Crosses 21.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
311 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
19.05.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
02.09.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
06.05.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-3 HT 1-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
10.12.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
06.03.2017 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
0.38 xG 0.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
442 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II and VVV-Venlo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Utrecht II had 58% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 42%, shots finished 5-6, expected goals 0.38 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Utrecht II and 1.83 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs VVV-Venlo?

Utrecht II 0-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated an VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 31%, draw 28%, VVV-Venlo 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (VVV-Venlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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