Stoke City U21 5-1 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.3pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.5pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
5-1
AWAY Manchester City U21
2.42 xG 1.21
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
378 Passes 433
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City U21 ran out comfortable winners over Manchester City U21 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 20% / 40%) promised a tight game; Stoke City U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 47% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 53%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.42 to 1.21.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Stoke City U21 5-1 Manchester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 40%, draw 20%, Manchester City U21 40%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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