Torreense vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torreense v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
Torreense vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Torreense
POR2
Torreense 1-0 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics
Torreense squeezed past Penafiel 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Torreense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Torreense had 54% of the ball to Penafiel's 46%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 1.19 to 2.17 — on chances, Penafiel could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Torreense and 0.50 for Penafiel.
What was the final score of Torreense vs Penafiel?
Torreense 1-0 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torreense vs Penafiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Torreense 47%, draw 27%, Penafiel 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.