Stockton Town 1-0 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Jan 2025

Stockton Town
1-0 HT 1-0
Lancaster City
📅15/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Stockton Town vs Lancaster City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockton Town v Lancaster City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 29%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.97/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.77
+12% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Stockton Town vs Lancaster City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lancaster City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.09.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 1-1 Stockton Town İNGNLP

Stockton Town 1-0 Lancaster City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockton Town
1-0
AWAY Lancaster City
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town squeezed past Lancaster City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Stockton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stockton Town had 55% of the ball to Lancaster City's 45%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Lancaster City?

Stockton Town 1-0 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 37%, draw 30%, Lancaster City 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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