Lancaster City 2-1 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.01
-30% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lancaster City
2-1
AWAY Stockton Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City nicked a narrow win over Stockton Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lancaster City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lancaster City had 51% of the ball to Stockton Town's 49%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?

Lancaster City 2-1 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 42%, draw 23%, Stockton Town 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lancaster City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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