Inter 2-2 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
16%
3.95
X/2
10%
11.75
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
9%
10.05
2/X
5%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
2.03/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.67
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.9 Crosses 12.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bologna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
485 Passes 400
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Bologna Bologna 0-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
20.12.2023 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
07.10.2023 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 2-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
26.02.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
09.11.2022 Inter Inter 6-1 HT 3-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
27.04.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-2
AWAY Bologna
1.74 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
328 Passes 357
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Inter vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter and Bologna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Inter at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Inter had 48% of the ball to Bologna's 52%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.74 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter and 1.33 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Inter vs Bologna?

Inter 2-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Inter 50%, draw 24%, Bologna 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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