Bologna 0-1 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 9 Mar 2024

Bologna
0-1 HT 0-1
Inter
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Bologna vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.63
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.4
X/1
11%
7.04
X/2
11%
4.37
X/X
9%
4.06
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.88
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 1/X at 14.4 — our 11% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bologna v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.03/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.12
-3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
14.3 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bologna vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Inter
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.94 xG 2.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
382 Passes 490
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
07.10.2023 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 2-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
26.02.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
09.11.2022 Inter Inter 6-1 HT 3-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
27.04.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
18.09.2021 Inter Inter 6-1 HT 3-0 Bologna Bologna İTA

Bologna 0-1 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
0-1
AWAY Inter
0.56 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
576 Passes 362
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter squeezed past Bologna 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Inter found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bologna had 60% of the ball to Inter's 40%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 0.56 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bologna and 2.67 for Inter.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Inter?

Bologna 0-1 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bologna 35%, draw 28%, Inter 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
9 Mar 2024
17:00 Cagliari vs Salernitana Analysis →
17:00 Sassuolo vs Frosinone Analysis →
22:45 Genoa vs Monza Analysis →