Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 15 Jan 2025

Wellington Phoenix
0-0 HT 0-0
Sydney
📅15/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.5
1/2
6%
20.55
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
9%
9.59
X/2
20%
4.31
X/X
11%
6.17
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.17
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+11.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix v Sydney — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 58%
+16% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -30%
1.38/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.48
+5% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -31%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
255 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 85%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
14.8 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sydney
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
330 Passes 458
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-1 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
29.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-1 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
12.03.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
07.01.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-1 HT 0-1 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
19.02.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 1-1 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
19.12.2021 Sydney Sydney 2-1 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS

Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix
0-0
AWAY Sydney
0.23 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
365 Passes 491
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix and Sydney played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 44% of the ball to Sydney's 56%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.23 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 1.17 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?

Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 34%, draw 22%, Sydney 44%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ Over 2.5
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